League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Mar 9, 2021 at 7pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Curran (90+2')
Lyden (9'), Thompson (33'), Conroy (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barker (3'), Agyei (82')
Sykes (34'), Forde (76'), Agyei (88')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Oxford United
27.13%	26.46%	46.41%

Both teams to score 49.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08%

54.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79%

76.2%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53%

35.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77%

72.23%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36%

23.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27%

57.72%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 27.13%

Oxford United 46.41%

Draw 26.45%

Swindon Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.13%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.41%