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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 22.06% | 27.12% | 50.81% |
| Both teams to score 42.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% | 80.84% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.58% | 43.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.36% | 79.64% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% | 24.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% | 58.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 5.19% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.03% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1% Total : 22.06% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 14.89% 0-2 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.3% Total : 50.8% |