League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Mar 9, 2021 at 7pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
4 - 1
Accrington

Leahy (15'), Rodman (45+1'), Nicholson (67'), Westbrooke (68')
McCormick (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Smyth (77')
Barclay (35')

Reaction

Fleetwood Town manager Joey Barton pictured in January 2020

Joey Barton hits out at referee as Bristol Rovers beat Accrington

The home side won 4-1 with goals from Luke Leahy, Alex Rodman, Sam Nicholson and Zain Westbrooke.

Mar 9, 22:42

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
33.84%	25.85%	40.32%

Both teams to score 54.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19%

49.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19%

71.81%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.28%

63.72%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61%

24.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19%

58.8%

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 33.84%

Accrington Stanley 40.32%

Draw 25.84%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.84%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.32%