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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 43.04% | 26.8% | 30.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% | 25.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% | 59.97% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% | 33.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% | 69.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.15% |