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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 22.52% | 24.11% | 53.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% | 71.42% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% | 36.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% | 73.26% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.39% | 49.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 6.78% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.52% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 9.61% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.35% |