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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 48.68% | 25.05% | 26.27% |
| Both teams to score 52.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% | 49.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% | 71.92% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% | 20.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% | 53.04% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% | 33.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% | 70.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.67% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.27% |