Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.