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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 54.76% | 23.92% | 21.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% | 49.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% | 71.9% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% | 18.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% | 49.05% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% | 37.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% | 74.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.31% |