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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 55.63% | 23.72% | 20.65% |
| Both teams to score 50.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% | 49.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% | 71.85% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% | 17.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% | 38.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% | 75.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.5% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.65% |