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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Sunderland |
| 23.36% | 25.78% | 50.87% |
| Both teams to score 47.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% | 76.33% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% | 38.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% | 75.59% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% | 54.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 5.75% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.36% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 12.88% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.86% |