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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 23.82% | 25.51% | 50.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% | 53.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% | 75.16% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% | 37.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% | 74.43% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% | 21.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% | 54.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-1 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.82% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 0-2 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.67% |