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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sunderland |
| 18.26% | 23.58% | 58.16% |
| Both teams to score 47.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% | 52.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% | 74.05% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% | 42.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.97% | 79.03% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% | 17.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.26% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-4 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 58.16% |