Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
