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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 28.13% | 26.36% | 45.52% |
| Both teams to score 50.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% | 53.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% | 75.43% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% | 70.87% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% | 23.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% | 57.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.52% |