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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 38.09% | 27.02% | 34.88% |
| Both teams to score 50.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% | 54.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% | 75.86% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% | 63.35% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% | 65.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.88% |