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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 16.35% | 23.53% | 60.12% |
| Both teams to score 43.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% | 54.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% | 76.2% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.41% | 46.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.83% | 82.18% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% | 17.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% | 48.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% 2-1 @ 4.19% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.33% Total : 16.35% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 14.37% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-3 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-4 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.13% Total : 60.11% |