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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 40.36% | 27.29% | 32.35% |
| Both teams to score 49.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% | 77.09% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% | 62.62% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% | 32.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% | 68.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.35% |