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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Gillingham |
| 58.65% | 24.01% | 17.34% |
| Both teams to score 44.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% | 55.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% | 76.48% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% | 18.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% | 49.98% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% | 45.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% | 81.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% 2-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 5.27% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2.08% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.98% Total : 58.64% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.34% |