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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
| 45.82% | 25.72% | 28.46% |
| Both teams to score 52.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% | 51.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% | 73.13% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% | 22.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% | 55.86% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% | 32.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% | 69.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.46% |