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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 34.55% | 25.62% | 39.83% |
| Both teams to score 55.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% | 70.81% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% | 27.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% | 62.47% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% | 24.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% | 58.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.55% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.83% |