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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
34.55% | 25.62% | 39.83% |
Both teams to score 55.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% | 48.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% | 70.81% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% | 27.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% | 62.47% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% | 24.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% | 58.45% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.55% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |