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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Gillingham |
| 46.53% | 25.85% | 27.62% |
| Both teams to score 51.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% | 52.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% | 73.97% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% | 22.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% | 33.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% | 70.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.62% |