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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 38.43% | 26.03% | 35.54% |
| Both teams to score 54.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% | 50.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% | 25.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% | 60.54% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% | 27.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% | 62.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3% Total : 35.54% |