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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
32.6% | 27.04% | 40.36% |
Both teams to score 50.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% | 54.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% | 76.25% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% | 31.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% | 67.81% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% | 26.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% | 61.99% |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |