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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 43.95% | 25.59% | 30.46% |
| Both teams to score 53.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% | 49.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% | 71.79% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% | 22.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% | 30.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% | 66.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.46% |