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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 44.84% | 25.87% | 29.29% |
| Both teams to score 52.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% | 51.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% | 22.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% | 31.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% | 68.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.29% |