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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 35.54% | 26.49% | 37.96% |
| Both teams to score 52.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% | 74.01% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% | 28.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% | 63.94% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% | 62.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.96% |