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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 61.96% | 21.71% | 16.33% |
| Both teams to score 48.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% | 70.08% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% | 14.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.7% | 43.3% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% | 42.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 6.23% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.67% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.95% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.43% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.33% |