FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK

Reebok Stadium

Bolton
2 - 3
Crewe

Delfouneso (37', 78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mandron (29'), Finney (70'), Kirk (75')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
39.48%	25.25%	35.27%

Both teams to score 56.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06%

46.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81%

69.19%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46%

23.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41%

57.59%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17%

25.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21%

60.79%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 39.48%

Crewe Alexandra 35.27%

Draw 25.24%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.4% Total : 35.27%

FA Cup

Bolton2 - 3Crewe

Data Analysis

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Bolton
2 - 3
Crewe