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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 51.53% | 24.97% | 23.5% |
| Both teams to score 50.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% | 73.61% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% | 20.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% | 52.38% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% | 73.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.72% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.5% |