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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 37.06% | 27.64% | 35.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% | 56.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% | 77.83% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% | 65.57% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% | 30.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% | 66.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.05% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.29% |