Portsmouth

4 - 1

Crewe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.