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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 48.98% | 26.11% | 24.9% |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.9% | 55.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% | 76.35% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% | 22.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% | 56.1% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% | 37.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% | 74.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.9% |