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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
44.33% | 26.97% | 28.7% |
Both teams to score 48.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.98% | 56.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% | 77.1% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% | 25.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.17% | 59.83% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% | 34.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% | 71.54% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |