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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 48.75% | 25.59% | 25.65% |
| Both teams to score 50.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% | 52.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% | 74.21% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% | 21.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% | 54.66% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% | 35.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.82% | 72.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.65% |