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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 41.39% | 27.84% | 30.76% |
| Both teams to score 47.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% | 58.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% | 79.04% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% | 27.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% | 63.37% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% | 34.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% | 71.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.23% Total : 30.76% |