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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 38.44% | 27.23% | 34.33% |
| Both teams to score 50.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.6% | 55.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% | 28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% | 63.64% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% | 66.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.32% |