Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.68% and a win for Gangwon had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%) , while for a Gangwon win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.