AFC Champions League
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Riyad Mahrez 4' goal
  • Galeno 6' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 30' goal
  • yellowcard Sasalak Haiprakon 45'
  • yellowcard Rene Renner 78'
  • yellowcard Supachai Jaided 88'

Al-Ahli vs Buriram United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Buriram United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result

Al-Ahli 46.11% (-0.45)
Draw 24.43% (+0.33)
Buriram United 29.47% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.29% (-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.8% (-1.42)
Under 2.5 45.2% (+1.42)
Over 3.5 32.46% (-1.37)
Under 3.5 67.54% (+1.38)
Over 4.5 16.41% (-1.00)
Under 4.5 83.59% (+1.00)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 80.28% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 19.72% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 48.27% (-1.24)
Under 1.5 51.73% (+1.24)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5 71.36% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 28.64% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 35.55% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 64.45% (+0.81)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 46.11%
Draw 24.42%
Buriram United 29.47%
Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.17% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 7.44% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.65% (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.42%
Buriram United
1-2 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 29.47%