AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 4, 2025 at 2pm UK

Chang Arena

Buriram Utd
0 - 0
Johor Darul

(Buriram United win 1-0 on aggregate)

Boakye (49')

Insa (27'), Arribas (52'), Silvestre (55'), Gonzalez (90+1')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Buriram United and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

Last Game: Buriram Utd 2-3 Ventforet Kofu
Tuesday, December 12 at 9.30am in AFC Champions League

Johor Darul Ta'zim

Last Game: Johor Darul 4-1 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Buriram United	Draw	Johor Darul Ta'zim
51.15% ( -0.49)	23.06% ( 0.12)	25.78% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36% (

-0.24)

41.63% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.96% (

-0.25)

64.03% (

0.24)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

-0.27)

16.38% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98% (

-0.48)

46.01% (

0.47)

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.15)

29.47% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

0.19)

65.48% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Buriram United 51.15%

Johor Darul Ta'zim 25.78%

Draw 23.06%

Buriram United	Draw	Johor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.78%