AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 11am UK
Chang Arena

Buriram Utd
4 - 1
Zhejiang

Doumbouya (17'), Causic (22' pen., 45'), Hemviboon (57')
Doumbouya (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Leonardo (45+8' pen.)
Wang (19'), Dong (53'), Cheng (67')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Buriram United and Zhejiang Professional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

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Last Game: Daegu 1-1 Buriram Utd (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.30am in AFC Champions League
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Zhejiang Professional

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-1 Zhejiang
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buriram United would win this match.

Result
Buriram UnitedDrawZhejiang Professional
63.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)19.78% (0.062000000000001 0.06)16.39% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (-0.272 -0.27)39.21% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45% (-0.284 -0.28)61.54% (0.278 0.28)
Buriram United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.104 -0.1)11.65% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3% (-0.219 -0.22)36.69% (0.213 0.21)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (-0.149 -0.15)37.08% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13% (-0.146 -0.15)73.86% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Buriram United 63.82%
    Zhejiang Professional 16.39%
    Draw 19.78%
Buriram UnitedDrawZhejiang Professional
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.39%

How you voted: Buriram Utd vs Zhejiang

Buriram United
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Zhejiang Professional
0.0%
5