Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.