AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 11am UK
Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium

Ventforet Kofu
1 - 0
Buriram Utd

Hasegawa (90')
Kamiya (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Causic (6')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ventforet Kofu and Buriram United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ventforet Kofu

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Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Ventforet Kofu
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Buriram United

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Last Game: Buriram Utd 4-1 Zhejiang
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Ventforet KofuDrawBuriram United
17.03% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)60.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.159 0.16)48.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (0.145 0.15)70.54% (-0.146 -0.15)
Ventforet Kofu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (0.183 0.18)41.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (0.16 0.16)78.3% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Buriram United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (0.034999999999997 0.03)15.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (0.063000000000002 0.06)44.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ventforet Kofu 17.03%
    Buriram United 60.85%
    Draw 22.11%
Ventforet KofuDrawBuriram United
1-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.58% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 17.03%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 12.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 11.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 60.85%

How you voted: Ventforet Kofu vs Buriram Utd

Ventforet Kofu
0.0%
Draw
33.3%
Buriram United
66.7%
6