AFC Champions League
Sep 20, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Steven Ugarkovic 22' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 88' yellowcard

Melbourne City vs Ventforet Kofu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Ventforet Kofu

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 72.16% (-0.21)
Draw 16.18% (+0.05)
Ventforet Kofu 11.65% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.57% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.1% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 32.9% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 45.39% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 54.61% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 26.63% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 73.37% (-0.22)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 92.03% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 7.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 71.88% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 28.11% (-0.03)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5 60.38% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 39.62% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 23.7% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 76.3% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 72.16%
Draw 16.18%
Ventforet Kofu 11.65%
Melbourne City
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.35% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.52% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.73% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 72.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.18%
Ventforet Kofu
1-2 @ 3.42% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 11.65%