Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2023 10.45am
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Marco Tilio 49' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 75' goal
  • Marco Tilio 90'+3' goal
  • goal Brandon Borrello 41'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 74'

Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
Western Utd 1 - 3 Melbourne City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 10.45am
Western Sydney 4 - 0 Wellington
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Brandon Borrello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Western Sydney Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 57.4% (+1.21)
Draw 21.31% (-0.34)
Western Sydney Wanderers 21.29% (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.54% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 38.46% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 39.25% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 60.75% (-0.48)
Over 4.5 21.54% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 78.46% (-0.38)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 86.76% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 13.24% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 59.99% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 40% (-1.04)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 68.51% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 31.49% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 32.12% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 67.88% (+0.61)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 57.4%
Draw 21.31%
Western Sydney Wanderers 21.29%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.85% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.52% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.64% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 5.75% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.84% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.36% (+0.14)
4-0 @ 2.9% (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.94% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.36% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.18% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 57.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.31%
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.18)
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 21.29%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 15, 2023 4.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Brandon Borrello 19' goal
  • goal Richard van der Venne 58'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Feb 11, 2022 8.45am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Dimitri Petratos 80' goal
  • goal Mathew Leckie 36'
  • goal Mathew Leckie 43'
  • goal Florin Berenguer 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Jan 9, 2022 7.45am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT AAMI Park
  • Scott Galloway 16' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 34' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 36' goal
  • Marco Tilio 60' goal
  • Scott Jamieson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Troisi 5'
  • goal Jack Rodwell 9'
  • yellowcard Thomas Aquilina 44'
  • goal Keijiro Ogawa 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Mar 26, 2021 8.05am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Craig Noone 33' goal
  • Curtis Good 50' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 52' goal
  • Craig Noone 55' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 90'+2' goal
  • goal Bernie Ibini-Isei 21'
  • yellowcard Jordon Mutch 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Mar 2, 2021 8.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Keanu Baccus 39' yellowcard
  • Jordon Mutch 63' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 6'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 54'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2020 8.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie MacLaren 30' goal
  • Florin Berenguer 76' yellowcard
  • Connor Metcalfe 85' yellowcard
  • goal Tate Russell 21'
  • yellowcard Pirmin Schwegler 27'