Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 19, 2023 at 8am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Romero (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aspropotamitis (66' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Macarthur
Saturday, March 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne City
16.56% ( 1.27)	19.07% ( 1.22)	64.37% ( -2.49)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.52% (

-3.43)

35.47% (

3.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.48% (

-3.9)

57.51% (

3.9)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43% (

-0.67)

34.57% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.71% (

-0.72)

71.29% (

0.72)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58% (

-1.53)

10.42% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.01% (

-3.58)

33.98% (

3.58)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 16.56%

Melbourne City 64.37%

Draw 19.07%

Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 16.56%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.59) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.07%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.85) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.49) 0-4 @ 3.93% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.31) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.37) 0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.31) 2-5 @ 1% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.02% Total : 64.37%