Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
16.56% ( 1.27) | 19.07% ( 1.22) | 64.37% ( -2.49) |
Both teams to score 58.61% ( -1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.52% ( -3.43) | 35.47% ( 3.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.48% ( -3.9) | 57.51% ( 3.9) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% ( -0.67) | 34.57% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% ( -0.72) | 71.29% ( 0.72) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% ( -1.53) | 10.42% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.01% ( -3.58) | 33.98% ( 3.58) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 16.56% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.59) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.85) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.49) 0-4 @ 3.93% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.31) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.37) 0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.31) 2-5 @ 1% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.02% Total : 64.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |