Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 11, 2023 at 11.30am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
2 - 4
Melbourne City

Clisby (25'), Williams (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bos (16'), Berisha (62' pen.), Leckie (76'), Berenguer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 6-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
13.59% ( -0.15)	19.12% ( -0.03)	67.3% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.89% (

-0.23)

42.11% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49% (

-0.23)

64.51% (

0.23)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.34% (

-0.37)

42.66% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.99% (

-0.32)

79.01% (

0.32)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

-0.02)

11.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.5% (

-0.04)

36.5% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 13.59%

Melbourne City 67.29%

Draw 19.12%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
1-0 @ 4.2% 2-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.59%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.12%	0-2 @ 11.48% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 67.29%