Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 62.37% | 20.16% | 17.46% |
| Both teams to score 56.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% | 39.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.65% | 61.35% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.01% | 11.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.58% | 37.42% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% | 35.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% | 72.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 7.01% 3-0 @ 6.81% 4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.95% Total : 62.37% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 5.11% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 4.82% 0-1 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.56% Total : 17.46% |