Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2022 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Perth Glory

Melbourne City
4 - 0
Perth Glory

MacLaren (49', 75' pen.), Tilio (82'), Leckie (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Wellington
Sunday, October 30 at 6am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 30 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawPerth Glory
73.83% (1.896 1.9)16.7% (-0.669 -0.67)9.47% (-1.2271 -1.23)
Both teams to score 45.03% (-2.437 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.658 -0.66)42.21% (0.656 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (-0.66 -0.66)64.61% (0.66 0.66)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.09% (0.297 0.3)9.91% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.18% (0.68599999999999 0.69)32.81% (-0.688 -0.69)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.99% (-2.88 -2.88)50.01% (2.877 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.33% (-2.079 -2.08)84.66% (2.078 2.08)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 73.82%
    Perth Glory 9.47%
    Draw 16.7%
Melbourne CityDrawPerth Glory
2-0 @ 13.24% (0.72 0.72)
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.48 0.48)
3-0 @ 10.2% (0.671 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 5.9% (0.461 0.46)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.73% (0.246 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.246 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.122 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.05% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 73.82%
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.366 -0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.7%
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.356 -0.36)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 9.47%

Head to Head
May 4, 2022 12.05pm
Perth Glory
2-0
Melbourne City
Timmins (5', 67')
Edwards (45')

Griffiths (55'), Jamieson (71'), Good (72'), Tilio (78'), Jenkinson (84')
Good (90+4')
Mar 2, 2022 8.05am
Melbourne City
2-2
Perth Glory
Berenguer (8'), Leckie (29')
Jamieson (90+4')
Fornaroli (31'), Timmins (56')
O'Neill (41')
Dec 8, 2021 8.45am
Melbourne City
1-0
Perth Glory
Atkinson (88')
Jamieson (52'), Tilio (71')

Aspropotamitis (8'), Lachman (38'), Burke-Gilroy (51'), Fornaroli (52')
May 5, 2021 12.20pm
Perth Glory
1-3
Melbourne City
Ikonomidis (31')
Keogh (35'), Kilkenny (44'), Aspropotamitis (90+1'), Warland (90+4')
Bodnar (36' og.), MacLaren (45+1', 68')
Jamieson (61')
Jan 31, 2021 7.40am
Melbourne City
1-3
Perth Glory
MacLaren (33')
Good (40')
Stynes (11'), Ingham (42'), D'Agostino (84')
Aspropotamitis (70'), Sullivan (78')