Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Oct 30, 2022 at 4am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Goodwin (18'), Ibusuki (22')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Colli (32')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 23 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 23 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Perth Glory
59.67% ( 0.43)	22.21% ( 0.01)	18.12% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

-0.69)

47.09% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

-0.64)

69.32% (

0.64)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.09)

15.39% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81% (

-0.17)

44.18% (

0.17)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

-0.9)

39.76% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.84)

76.43% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 59.66%

Perth Glory 18.12%

Draw 22.21%

Adelaide United	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.66%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.12%