Australian A-League | 1st Leg

May 18, 2022 at 10.05am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
0 - 0
Melbourne City

(Melbourne City win 2-1 on aggregate)

Metcalfe (60'), Reis (61'), Leckie (76'), Colakovski (90')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
27.55% ( 0.15)	23.63% ( -0.01)	48.82% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.19% (

0.15)

42.81% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79% (

0.15)

65.21% (

-0.15)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

0.19)

28.77% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

0.23)

64.61% (

-0.24)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31% (

17.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.67% (

0.01)

48.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 27.55%

Melbourne City 48.82%

Draw 23.63%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.55%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.82%