Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
68.18% | 17.65% | 14.17% |
Both teams to score 57.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.34% | 33.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.52% | 55.48% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% | 9.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.28% | 30.72% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.61% | 36.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.82% | 73.18% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 7.7% 3-0 @ 7.62% 4-1 @ 4.63% 4-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-2 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 2.21% 5-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.84% Total : 68.18% | 1-1 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 3.28% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.65% | 1-2 @ 4.03% 0-1 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.15% Total : 14.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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