Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Dec 18, 2021 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Victory

MacLaren (60'), Nabbout (63')
Metcalfe (36'), O'Neill (84'), Berenguer (86'), Jamieson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Margiotta (12'), D'Agostino (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
68.18%17.65%14.17%
Both teams to score 57.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.34%33.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.52%55.48%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98%9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28%30.72%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61%36.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82%73.18%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 68.18%
    Melbourne Victory 14.17%
    Draw 17.65%
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 7.7%
3-0 @ 7.62%
4-1 @ 4.63%
4-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.89%
4-2 @ 2.34%
5-1 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 2.21%
5-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 68.18%
1-1 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.65%
1-2 @ 4.03%
0-1 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 14.17%