Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
May 9, 2022 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City2 - 1Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 74.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 74.67% | 15.32% | 10.01% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
