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Wellington Phoenix
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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
May 9, 2022 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Wellington

Sutton (3' og.), MacLaren (10')
Nabbout (30'), Tilio (54'), MacLaren (56'), Jenkinson (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Waine (54')
Piscopo (81'), Waine (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 74.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
74.67%15.32%10.01%
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39%33.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.57%55.43%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39%7.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.79%27.21%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68%79.32%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 74.66%
    Wellington Phoenix 10.01%
    Draw 15.32%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-0 @ 10.86%
3-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 6.01%
4-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.32%
5-0 @ 3.1%
5-1 @ 2.61%
4-2 @ 2.14%
6-0 @ 1.33%
6-1 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 74.66%
1-1 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.86%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.32%
1-2 @ 3%
0-1 @ 2.76%
0-2 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.01%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Wellington

Melbourne City
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 6.35am
Wellington
0-6
Melbourne City

Pennington (87'), Ball (90')
Surman (17' og.), Leckie (50'), Nabbout (59'), Good (68'), Tilio (76', 81')
May 16, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
Tsubaki (58'), MacLaren (81')
O'Neill (90')
Hemed (37' pen., 88')
Lewis (79'), Hemed (89'), McGarry (90')
Apr 5, 2021 10.10am
Wellington
2-3
Melbourne City
Hemed (39'), Davila (56')
Fenton (58'), Laws (62'), Devlin (88')
Good (17'), MacLaren (45'), Tilio (83')
Berenguer (55')
Feb 15, 2020 6am
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Ball (58')
Davila (43'), Hooper (90')
Nov 3, 2019 5am
Melbourne City
3-2
Wellington
Metcalfe (30'), Galloway (34'), Noone (63' pen.)
Najjar (29'), Noone (43'), Genreau (45'), Galloway (51')
Hooper (24'), Waine (93')