Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 73.01% | 16.38% | 10.61% |
| Both teams to score 50.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% | 37.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% | 59.25% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% | 8.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.82% | 30.18% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.71% | 44.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.64% | 80.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% 1-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 7.6% 4-0 @ 5.67% 4-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.09% 5-0 @ 2.76% 5-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.88% 6-0 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 0.91% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 73.01% | 1-1 @ 7.71% 0-0 @ 3.9% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.38% | 0-1 @ 3.17% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.97% Total : 10.61% |